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| By Maureen O'Gara |
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| October 17, 2003 10:43 AM EDT |
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6,587 |
Transmeta, the exotic x86 house, is back for a second try at the
brass ring having flubbed it big-time the first time through. This
time it's taking on both Intel and Moore's (industry-held-sacred)
Law. It claims Moore's Law will ultimately be overturned by leakage,
the power that processors lose to transistor bloat, something to
really look forward to when the industry goes to gazillions of itty-
bitty 90nm and 65nm transistors and beyond.
As a matter of fact, rumor has it that voltage problems have been
bedeviling and delaying Intel's excursion into 90nm. See, the higher
the speed, the smaller the surface, the more transistors, the more
power is dissipated.
Transmeta says, with a dire tone in its voice, that "Leakage power
could easily dominate total chip power and prevent low-power standby
operation if not controlled."
Naturally, Transmeta says it's got a solution, but it isn't out of
development yet. However, even with the number of transistors
doubling every two years, there's no great rush since the voltage
crisis, despite Intel's current problems, apparently won't crest
until, oh, 2010-2015.
Anyhow the secret sauce is in Transmeta's next-generation power
management software scheme LongRun2, which - together with special
hardware circuits - will let it dynamically control threshold
leakage, it claims. It says software control is important in order
to adjust leakage due to changes in run-time conditions such as
voltage and temperature that are not pre-determined when the chip is
manufactured.
LongRun 2 will go into future versions of Transmeta's brand new
this-better-work-or-we're-toast chip Astro, which has now officially
been dubbed Efficeon, which is supposed to suggest the opening of an
era of efficiency. When exactly this wonderfulness will occur is
unclear.
A prototype demonstration showed the widgetry cutting Efficeon's
core leakage power by 70 times in standby mode from 144mW to 2mW and
hundreds of times a second while playing a video game and DVD movie.
The new chip family, whose development is supposed to go back to
before Transmeta brought out Crusoe in January of 2000 and sampled
this summer, starts with the 1GHz-1.3GHz TM8000 chip, which is
supposed to outdo Intel when operating within the 7W thermal limits
of a fan-less notebook design. (This is called the performance-per-
watt-per-dollar contest and Transmeta's got a bunch of benchmarks
saying it's better than Intel's Centrino-Pentium M.)
Transmeta founder and CTO Dave Ditzel says the company pondered the
shortcomings of its first chip, the Crusoe, and built the Efficeon
accordingly. It involves a new silicon microarchitecture and a
redesigned version of Transmeta's Code Morphing software.
The microarchitecture is based on a 256-bit Very Long Instruction
Word (VLIW) approach that can issue up to eight instructions per
clock cycle, as against Intel's four, which means twice the
throughput per clock of the Pentium 4.
The Northbridge chip is integrated and this time through Transmeta
provided for a high-speed integrated AGP-4X graphics interface
rather than just a lonely PCI interface. It's got DDR-400 SDRAM with
ECC memory as an option, something it wishes it had on the Crusoe.
Efficeon uses a HyperTransport interconnect that can send data at up
to 1.6 Gbytes/sec aggregate, which is 12 times faster than the I/O
throughput of Crusoe's PCI interface.
The chip is being made by TSMC in Taiwan on a 130nm process.
Transmeta plans to switch to Fujitsu's 90nm CMOS process in the
second half of next year to fetch speeds of up to 2GHz.
Initially, there will be three Efficeon chips: one with a meg of on-
chip L2 cache, one with a 512KB cache and a little guy that fits
into a smaller package. They will compete with Centrino on space,
cost, power and energy, Ditzel said.
Efficeon is aimed mostly at the mainstream notebook market rather
than the company's usual lower-volume ultra-light haunts although
Transmeta is also hoping to pick up its share of business in blade
servers, tablets, thin and light notebooks, embedded and - playing
to the burgeoning digital media craze - silent desktops too. It
mumbled an ambition to lead in thin clients next year.
A day after it got its second-generation Efficeon launched,
Transmeta posted terrible numbers for the third quarter. It lost
$23.7 million, or 17 cents a share, on revenues that followed Crusoe
demand down hill and dropped to a pitiful $2.7 million from 6.4
million last year when it lost $22 million. Analysts were expecting,
oh, $5 million. Its losses, which included non-cash charges of $4.9
million, were in line with expectations.
CEO Matt Perry said Crusoe demand fell off quicker than anticipated
in mobile notebooks though the 5800 still has momentum in embedded
designs and ultra PCs (UPCs). Perry claimed 5800 volumes would
increase going forward as vendors launch their UPCs and thin clients
like HP's models.
CFO Olav Carlsen projected that Q4 revenues would be flat to up 50%,
depending on how the Efficeon ramps, a forecast that evidently
routed the stock. Losses should range around 13 or 14 cents.
Obviously if Efficeon doesn't cut it, Transmeta, which will have $52
million in bank at the end of December, is through.
Although Efficeon systems will start shipping this quarter, Perry
said the company has "strong interest in Efficeon processors for
designs beginning in the spring of 2004 in the mainstream consumer
notebook segment. We are also receiving very strong feedback from
leading notebook manufacturers for Efficeon processors based on 90
nanometer technology, which is expected to be in volume production
in the second half of next year."
Oh, yeah, by the way, being hungry for revenues, Transmeta is
looking to license its power management technologies.
The Efficeon is reportedly selling for around 100 bucks to the
Crusoe's 20.
Maureen O'Gara the most read technology reporter for the past 20 years, is the Cloud Computing and Virtualization News Desk editor of SYS-CON Media. She is the publisher of famous "Billygrams" and the editor-in-chief of "Client/Server News" for more than a decade. One of the most respected technology reporters in the business, Maureen can be reached by email at maureen(at)sys-con.com or paperboy(at)g2news.com, and by phone at 516 759-7025. Twitter: @MaureenOGara
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