Welcome!

Java Authors: Patrick Curran, Maureen O'Gara, Carmen Gonzalez, Michael Sheehan, Jonny Defh

Related Topics: Linux

Linux: Article

Microsoft & Linux: At What Point Is It Cheaper to Just Buy Novell?

From a technology perspective Novell has two things to offer Microsoft - SUSE and Identity Management

David Harrison's "Stress Free" Blog

Microsoft no longer sees itself as simply a Windows company. One recent indication of this is their determination to buy the LAMP-centric (Linux/Apache/MySQL/PHP) Yahoo! Instead of migrating all the tried and tested Yahoo! services over to a Windows server infrastructure, wouldn't it be simpler to establish Microsoft Linux through the acquisition of Novell? From a technology perspective Novell has two things to offer Microsoft - SUSE and Identity Management.

The U.S. Supreme Court has cleared the way for Novell to continue their Wordperfect anti-trust suit against Microsoft. Novell's argument is that anti-competitive operating system issues caused their once mighty Wordperfect suite to come tumbling down. This turn of fortune cost Novell to the tune of $1 billion. The lawsuit Novell has filed against Microsoft is for damages potentially in the order of $3 billion.

Whilst everyone agrees Microsoft is no saint the fact of the matter is Novell and Wordperfect got beaten by aggressive pricing and marketing rather than significant operating system level anti-competitive action. Microsoft gained market share by aggressively dropping the price of Office to the point that it was less than half that of its competitors. Rather than following suit and matching dollar for dollar these moves Novell blindly followed their original pricing structures inherited from when they purchased Wordperfect.

Novell's past business blunders aside, given Microsoft's recent showing in the courts you would have to say its an even money bet that some financial compensation arises from this case. Whether it is in the order of $3 billion is unlikely but even a quarter of that amount is still a hefty sum. Does there come a time when Microsoft executives look at Novell and decide it is cheaper to buy them outright than cough up massive legal fees and reparations?

A few years ago the idea of Microsoft buying Novell would be dismissed on anti-competitive grounds, but these days Microsoft faces stiff competition from the likes of Red Hat, IBM, Sun, Oracle and of course Google. Even in recent years the two companies have hardly been competing against each other. The controversial agreement struck a few years ago between the two has seen them in coopetition rather than competition without so much as a mumble from regulatory bodies.

Given Novell's current financial position if a $3 billion payout were on the cards it is not a huge leap to suggest that Microsoft simply buy them out rather than buy their forgiveness. Whilst it would take more than $3 billion to buy the company it would not take much more (relatively speaking) considering Novell has a current market cap of $2.1 billion. Also from a shareholder's perspective an acquisition is much better than a payout as their investment is preserved and built upon instead of going to lawyers and the opposition.

From a technology perspective Novell has two things to offer Microsoft - SUSE and Identity Management. Microsoft currently resell SUSE and have a comparatively weak Identity Management business so both assets could be put to good use. Netware, Novell's other technology is at end of life but this customer base is currently having to weigh up a tricky migration to SUSE or Windows Server. As a consequence owning both end points of this decision would not be such a bad thing from a sales point of view.

Perhaps the biggest hurdle to get over is the general idea that Microsoft cannot sell Linux because it invented Windows. Given the recent announcements at Mix'08 in cloud computing and advertising it would seem that Microsoft no longer sees itself as simply a Windows company. Arguably another indication of this is their determination to buy the LAMP-centric (Linux/Apache/MySQL/PHP) Yahoo!. Instead of migrating all the tried and tested Yahoo services over to a Windows server infrastructure, wouldn't it be simpler to establish Microsoft Linux through the acquisition of Novell?

More Stories By David Harrison

David Harrison is Director of StressFree Solutions Ltd, based in Auckland, New Zealand. His specialties include Java (J2EE, Hibernate, Stripes), PHP, Perl, CSS, Javascript (AJAX), XML/XSLT, usability, web services, database management (MySQL),and Linux administration (Red Hat, SUSE, Ubuntu). He blogs at http://www.stress-free.co.nz/.

Comments (6) View Comments

Share your thoughts on this story.

Add your comment
You must be signed in to add a comment. Sign-in | Register

In accordance with our Comment Policy, we encourage comments that are on topic, relevant and to-the-point. We will remove comments that include profanity, personal attacks, racial slurs, threats of violence, or other inappropriate material that violates our Terms and Conditions, and will block users who make repeated violations. We ask all readers to expect diversity of opinion and to treat one another with dignity and respect.


Most Recent Comments
Tim 04/08/08 06:18:32 AM EDT

David writes a moderately tongue in cheek blog posting and now he's 'naive, ignorant, deceptive, incompetent, a rabid pro Microsoft partisan apologist.... and a dupe'. Which is so funny to anyone who knows him - and / or has any sense of humor whatsoever.

'Some' people (cough W Anderson cough) are so in love with their own 'wisdom'. One wonders why they reserve it for the comments section - rather than enlightening us all with their own wise, enlightened, forthright, shrewd, impeccably researched, impartial and sincerely perceptive journalistic efforts..... Oh well, at least he gave me a laugh!

db 04/05/08 11:11:55 AM EDT

Yahoo use FreeBSD and not much Linux. Plus the EU will never let this happen. This seems to be a poorly researched article.

W. Anderson 04/05/08 10:55:15 AM EDT

It is not clear as to the understanding by David Harrison of the "real" issues regarding Novell suit against Microsoft for WordPerfect suppression, since he may be either too young to know matters at the time or is not a knowledgeable technologist.

Microsoft can indeed, and probably did restrict WordPerfect for working effectively on their Operating Systems (note: this has been proven in courts of law around the USA and internationally many time in last twenty years), so for the article author to claim there is no connection is being disingenuous at best and naive, ignorant or deceptive at worst.

Technology media must monitor their writers more closely for competence and absence of rabid partisanship, especially for all the Microsoft apologists and dupes that abound in the tech media industry.

Otherwise the overall credibility of technology reporting will (and is falling) fall to the level of the trash Inquirer magazine.

W. Anderson
kimalcorp@nac.net

Joe Almeida 04/05/08 08:21:11 AM EDT

The biggest problem to that is regulatory. The author glossed over what would be the showstopper. Let's not forget that Novell has a significant customer base in Europe, and it is home to the SuSE division. I don't think the EC has a problem saying "no" to MS. That right there would probably stop the purchase worldwide. There is already a precedent for this: the attempted GE/Honeywell merger. The DOJ said yes, the EC said no, and that was enough to stop the merger based on GE's and Honeywell's assets in Europe.

David Harrison 04/04/08 06:11:09 PM EDT

Yes I forgot to consider the ZEN suite in the context of that argument which was really concentrating at the services level. That being said software management is a field in a state of flux right now with the onset of virtualisation and software as a service (SOA). Whilst the ZEN suite is arguably at the top of its class, Novell will need to ensure they maintain their competitiveness in a field that will see rapid evolution over the next few years.

Alec Baldwin 04/04/08 09:51:36 AM EDT

I agree in part with your article, but I think Novell has a lot more to offer Microsoft than just SLES and Identity. The ZEN suite of technologies is superior to anything Microsoft can offer, and is already fully AD/Windows ready. So, three core areas of Novell's business are potentially attractive to Microsoft, add Platespin to that mix, and it gets even more interesting.